ISBN 13 : 9780241658628

Contents :
Introduction

1. Uncertainty is personal
2. Putting uncertainty into numbers
3. Taming chance with probability
4. Surprises and coincidences
5. Luck
6. It's all a bit random
7. Being Bayesian
8. Science and uncertainty
9. How much confidence do we have in our analysis?
10. What, or who, is to blame? Causality, climate and crime
11. Predicting the future
12. Risk, failure and disaster
13. Deep uncertainty
14. Communicating uncertainty and risk
15. Making decisions and managing risks
16. The future of uncertainty

Note
Glossary
Index

Language : English

Location : Nice Library

Material : Paper

Statement : Présent

Owner : Bibliothèque