The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable.
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ISBN 13 : 978-0141034591
Sommaire : Contents
Prologue
Part 1. Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation.
1. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic
2. Yevgenia's black swan
3. The speculator and the prostitute
4. One thousand and one days or how not to be a sucker
5. Confirmation shmonfirmation !
6. The narrative fallacy
7. Living in the antechamber of hope
8. Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence
9. The ludic fallacy or the uncertainty of the nerd.
Part 2. We just can't predict.
10. The scandal of prediction
11. How to look bird poop
12. Epistemocracy, a dream
13. Appelles the painter or what do you if you cannot predict ?
Part 3. Those gray swans of extremistan
14. From mediocristan to extremistan and back
15. The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud
16. The aesthetics of randomness
17. Locke's madmen or bell curves in the wrong places
18. The uncertainty of the phony
Part 4. The end
19. Half and half or how to get even with the black swan
Langue : Anglais
Localisation : Bibliothèque Campus de Nice
Support : Papier
Etat : Présent
Propriétaire : Bibliothèque